Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

PC

PROKIDNEY CORP. (PROK)·Q1 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2024 was an operational quarter focused on clinical execution and manufacturing readiness; cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities were $329.0M, with runway into Q4 2025 maintained .
  • The company highlighted final RMCL-002 Phase 2 results (Late-Breaking ERA presentation) and confirmed mid-2024 timing to resume PROACT 1 enrollment, commence PROACT 2, and deliver REGEN-007 interim data, setting multiple near-term catalysts .
  • EPS was $(0.16), flat year over year vs Q1 2023 and improved vs Q3 2023’s $(0.18); operating loss narrowed vs Q3 2023 on lower G&A, though R&D rose modestly YoY due to staffing and quality remediation .
  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q1 2024 was unavailable at request time; estimate comparisons are not provided. Consensus should update alongside interim clinical data and Phase 3 resumption (values unavailable; attempted retrieval via S&P Global).
  • Potential stock reaction catalysts: ERA late-breaker data recap, REGEN-007 interim readout, manufacturing restart, and resumption of Phase 3 enrollments, plus continued emphasis on Stage 4 CKD focus and payer-aligned inclusion criteria .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Final RMCL-002 Phase 2 results presented in ERA late-breaker; management reiterated evidence of eGFR stabilization post-treatment in high-risk Stage 4 CKD with severe albuminuria, supporting Phase 3 focus .
  • Clinical and technical leadership strengthened (EVP Technical Operations and SVP Global Clinical Operations), enhancing readiness for manufacturing scale-up and Phase 3 execution .
  • Cash runway into Q4 2025 maintained despite operating spend; management reaffirmed multiple mid-2024 milestones (manufacturing/protocol changes complete; PROACT 1/2 enrollment resume) .

Quote: “Rilparencel has the potential to be meaningful in this high-risk patient population where there are limited therapeutic options for care.” — CEO Bruce Culleton .

What Went Wrong

  • Manufacturing pause following EU Qualified Person audit findings required documentation and quality system remediation, delaying PROACT 1 enrollment and pushing manufacturing restart into mid-2024 .
  • Protocol amendment narrowed PROACT 1 eGFR inclusion to 20–35 ml/min/1.73m², necessitating enrollment interruption and FDA notification process; enrollment expected to resume mid-2024 .
  • S&P Global consensus estimates were unavailable at request time, preventing a beat/miss analysis this quarter (values unavailable; attempted retrieval via S&P Global).

Financial Results

Note: PROK is pre-revenue; no revenue line is presented in the statements of operations .

MetricQ1 2023Q3 2023Q1 2024
Revenue ($USD Millions)
R&D Expense ($USD Millions)$25.6 $32.2 $27.2
G&A Expense ($USD Millions)$15.3 $14.4 $12.8
Total Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$40.9 $46.6 $40.1
Operating Loss ($USD Millions)$(40.9) $(46.6) $(40.1)
Net Loss Before NCI ($USD Millions)$(36.9) $(42.0) $(35.3)
Net Loss EPS ($USD)$(0.16) $(0.18) $(0.16)

Segment breakdown: Not applicable; company reports consolidated results only .

KPIs and Balance Sheet Metrics

MetricSep 30 2023Dec 31 2023Mar 31 2024
Cash & Equivalents ($USD Millions)$191.4 $60.6 $84.4
Marketable Securities ($USD Millions)$204.9 $302.3 $244.6
Total Current Assets ($USD Millions)$406.4 $374.1 $340.2
Total Liabilities ($USD Millions)$23.6 $29.2 $24.7
Shares Outstanding (Total)235,434,630 228,178,263 229,344,883

Operational drivers:

  • R&D YoY increase primarily driven by added personnel in clinical/quality/manufacturing/biostatistics and professional fees for quality documentation remediation, partially offset by lower Phase 3 spend due to enrollment pause .
  • G&A YoY decrease driven by lower equity-based compensation, partially offset by higher cash comp and professional fees .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Cash RunwayThrough Q4 2025Into Q4 2025 (as of Sep 30 2023) Into Q4 2025 (as of Mar 31 2024) Maintained
PROACT 1 eGFR InclusionPhase 3 protocol≥20 to ≤50 ml/min/1.73m² ≥20 to ≤35 ml/min/1.73m² Lowered upper bound
PROACT 1 EnrollmentTimingResume H1 2024 (post-modification) Resume mid-2024 Maintained window
PROACT 2 EnrollmentTiming & Criteria≥20 to ≤44 ml/min/1.73m²; commence H1 2024 Commence mid-2024; criteria unchanged Maintained
Manufacturing StatusReadinessPause; resume H1 2024 after QP audit remediation On schedule to resume mid-2024 Maintained timeline
RMCL-002 Final ReadoutDisclosureFull results expected 1H 2024 Presented as Late-Breaker at ERA; KOL recap May 28 Executed
REGEN-007 InterimReadoutMid-2024 Mid-2024 Maintained

No financial guidance on revenue, margins, OpEx beyond qualitative runway commentary was provided .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: No Q1 2024 earnings call transcript was available; we use the May 28, 2024 KOL event transcript and Q3 2023 call for thematic continuity .

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2: Q3 2023; FY update)Current Period (Q1 2024)Trend
Focus on high-risk Stage 4 CKDPlan to enrich PROACT 1 to eGFR 20–35; strongest potential benefit seen in Stage 4 with severe albuminuria Reiterated; protocol amendment submitted; central IRB approval; emphasis on preserving function in Stage 4 Intensifying focus
Manufacturing/QP audit remediationPause and system improvements to meet EU/global standards; resume H1 2024 On schedule to resume mid-2024; team upgrades (EVP Technical Ops) Resolving
Enrollment cadence & criteria~80 enrolled in PROACT 1; targeting 600 incremental; expectation of faster enrollment with sicker patients Resume PROACT 1 and commence PROACT 2 mid-2024 Resuming
Comparative therapy landscape (SGLT2/GLP-1/MRA)Stage 4 underserved; residual risk remains; potential complementary role for REACT KOLs: residual progression persists; compliance issues; GLP-1 FLOW reduces risk but not <1 ml/min/yr slopes; need new options Reinforced
eGFR slope durability/redosingDurability may tail off after ~18–24 months; possible need to redose REGEN-007 to inform bilateral dosing; cohort designs address triggers Under evaluation
Cash runway/catalysts~$396M as of Q3; runway into Q4 2025; multiple data readouts ahead $329M as of Q1; runway into Q4 2025; ERA/REGEN-007/protocol restart Maintained

Management Commentary

  • “With the full results of RMCL-002… and the upcoming interim readout of REGEN-007 in mid-2024, we look forward to further elucidating the effect of rilparencel in preserving kidney function…” — CEO Bruce Culleton .
  • “We believe the data in hand demonstrate the potential for preservation of kidney function… most notable in the sickest patients, those who had Stage 4 CKD with a high UACR.” — CEO Bruce Culleton (KOL event) .
  • “We are also pausing manufacturing to address the very recent EU qualified person audit… We expect to resume manufacturing in the first half of 2024.” — CEO Bruce Culleton (Q3 call) .
  • “Focusing… to the sicker patients, 20 to 35 is beneficial on many fronts… it’s going to accelerate the enrollment of the trial.” — Chairman Pablo Legorreta (Q3 call) .

Q&A Highlights

  • Protocol amendment and enrollment impact: ~80 PROACT 1 patients enrolled; ~50 meet new criteria; targeting 600 incremental; interim analysis timing under review .
  • Manufacturing remediation: Documentation deficiencies (QP audit) driving pause; no clinical safety events; restart planned H1/mid-2024 .
  • GLP-1/SGLT2 context: FLOW and SGLT2 trials reduce risk but leave residual progression and compliance challenges; REACT positioned as complementary, aiming for <1 ml/min/yr eGFR decline .
  • Durability/redosing: Benefit may tail off after ~18–24 months; Phase 3/REGEN-007 to inform bilateral injections and potential redosing triggers .
  • Stage 4 focus rationale: Clinical need, payer dynamics, and event accrual rate support focusing 20–35 ml/min cohort; expected to improve enrollment kinetics and probability of success .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus for Q1 2024 EPS and revenue was unavailable at the time of request despite attempts to retrieve; therefore, beat/miss analysis versus Street is not provided (values unavailable; attempted retrieval via S&P Global).
  • As a pre-revenue, late-stage biotech, revenue comparisons are not meaningful; EPS comparisons are driven by OpEx, interest income, and equity-based compensation variances rather than top-line performance .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Multiple near-term catalysts: ERA late-breaker (completed), KOL recap, REGEN-007 interim (mid-2024), manufacturing restart, and resumption of PROACT 1/2 enrollment — collectively important for narrative momentum and potential financing windows .
  • Strategic focus on Stage 4 CKD aligns with strongest Phase 2 signals and payer priorities; narrowed eGFR inclusion (20–35) should accelerate event accrual and enrollment .
  • Operational readiness improving: Leadership hires in Technical and Clinical Operations aim to de-risk manufacturing scale-up and trial execution .
  • Cash runway into Q4 2025 maintained; liquidity of $329.0M supports clinical milestones; monitor burn as PROACT restarts .
  • Manufacturing/QP remediation is the key execution risk near term; successful restart is critical to sustain Phase 3 momentum .
  • Estimates visibility limited this quarter; expect Street to update models around interim data and enrollment resumption (S&P Global consensus unavailable at time of request).
  • Medium-term thesis hinges on demonstrating Phase 3 efficacy in high-risk CKD, durability of effect, and operational excellence in autologous cell therapy manufacturing .
Notes:
- No Q1 2024 earnings call transcript was available; themes draw from the May 28, 2024 KOL event and prior Q3 2023 call **[1850270_PROK_3390976_0]** **[1850270_PROK_3367124_0]**.
- No non-GAAP financial measures were presented; statements reflect GAAP operating expenses and losses **[1850270_0000950170-24-057443_prok-ex99_1.htm:5]** **[1850270_0000950170-23-063326_prok-ex99_1.htm:5]**.